there is widely accepted way of determining the fair value of an option – its called the Black-Scholes model. This model is widely used in the financial markets and other industries to determine the fair value of an option. UFABET Although the model is pretty complicated, it can be boiled down to: the price increases as time increases and as asset volatility increases (volatility is a measure of how much the asset prices move per unit time). So if one bet is for a one hour period, and if one is for a one day period, the one day bet price will be higher. And if one bet is on a calm market, and one is on a stormy market, the stormy market bet price will be higher. There is a huge amount of information available about “predicting the markets” – just Google that term or “winning trading strategies” or “make money markets”, etc. And much if not most of this information is total garbage. If we knew of a “foolproof” way to make huge profits in the markets we’d be (insert retire young and rich fantasy of your choice here). But that is not the reality. The reality is that the markets are often very unpredictable, and at most times approximate a “coin flip” where you have a 50% chance of being right. So if you can be right 55% of the time, you are doing a good job. Correct 60% of the time and you are doing a really good job. Correct 70% of the time and you are world-class.